Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1140 | 854 | 84% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 948 | 1200 | 19% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1133 | 42% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 881 | 948 | 40% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1118 | 47% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1009 | 58% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1114 | 1016 | 64% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1114 | 1043 | 60% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 898 | 937 | 44% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1011.2 has a 55.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).