From Matilda with Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1211 | 1162 | 57% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1017 | 955 | 59% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 970 | 1014 | 44% | 2023-05-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1082 | 41% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 972 | 54% | 2020-05-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 961 | 69% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 640 | 1043 | 9% | 2017-02-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1211 | 25% | 2016-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 996.8 vs 1039.1 has a 43.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).