By Dawn's Early Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (16 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2023-03-27 | Won |
1103 | 1147 | 44% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
970 | 1071 | 36% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
1052 | 1035 | 52% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
1034 | 1323 | 16% | 2021-10-03 | Lost |
973 | 979 | 49% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
1117 | 1090 | 54% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
1150 | 1057 | 63% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
1150 | 1057 | 63% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
1000 | 970 | 54% | 2017-05-18 | Won |
1078 | 960 | 66% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
1250 | 1330 | 39% | 2012-07-28 | Lost |
1053 | 1073 | 47% | 2012-05-18 | Won |
1019 | 1227 | 23% | 2012-03-11 | Lost |
1021 | 957 | 59% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 1079.9 has a 48.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).