By Dawn's Early Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 983 | 50% | 2023-03-27 | Won |
1142 | 1175 | 45% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
924 | 1052 | 32% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
1039 | 1300 | 18% | 2021-10-03 | Lost |
974 | 980 | 49% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
1152 | 1083 | 60% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
1152 | 1083 | 60% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
1003 | 970 | 55% | 2017-05-18 | Won |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
1251 | 1317 | 41% | 2012-07-28 | Lost |
1053 | 1073 | 47% | 2012-05-18 | Won |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2012-03-11 | Lost |
994 | 957 | 55% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.5 vs 1080.9 has a 47.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).