Close Encounter of the Bad Kind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 4
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2026-04-13 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1022 | 53% | 2021-12-20 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1094 | 66% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1342 | 13% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1015 | 75% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1015 | 1202 | 25% | 2011-05-26 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1075.7 vs 1102.4 has a 46.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).