N-463
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1078 | 47% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
872 | 837 | 55% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
1100 | 1020 | 61% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
937 | 992 | 42% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-03-17 | Won |
1009 | 1142 | 32% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
882 | 962 | 39% | 2018-11-19 | Lost |
974 | 1055 | 39% | 2018-07-24 | Won |
1022 | 990 | 55% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-03-02 | Won |
1055 | 1113 | 42% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2015-11-27 | Lost |
1093 | 989 | 65% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-17 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2012-12-10 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-03-11 | Lost |
1010 | 1044 | 45% | 2012-02-12 | Won |
1216 | 981 | 79% | 2011-12-20 | Lost |
990 | 1013 | 47% | 2011-10-19 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1053.2 has a 51.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).