Where the Winter Lingers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1002 | 970 | 55% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
865 | 875 | 49% | 2022-03-13 | Won |
925 | 959 | 45% | 2021-11-30 | Won |
1097 | 1018 | 61% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
1141 | 1043 | 64% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
925 | 982 | 42% | 2021-11-02 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
1178 | 1189 | 48% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
1035 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-02-16 | Tied |
1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-08-26 | Lost |
1039 | 1003 | 55% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-02-13 | Lost |
1014 | 990 | 53% | 2011-07-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1043.1 has a 51.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).