Contested Settlement
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (Polish): 14
Defender wins (Slovakian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1006 | 41% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Lost |
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2022-08-06 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1431 | 10% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-10-11 | Won |
| 877 | 828 | 57% | 2021-09-14 | Won |
| 821 | 1004 | 26% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 924 | 1076 | 29% | 2020-12-30 | Won |
| 1006 | 993 | 52% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1063 | 51% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 940 | 996 | 42% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1431 | 32% | 2020-08-25 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1431 | 23% | 2020-01-31 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1235 | 76% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
| 877 | 943 | 41% | 2019-07-04 | Lost |
| 1002 | 943 | 58% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
| 1036 | 943 | 63% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1027 | 913 | 66% | 2017-12-21 | Won |
| 877 | 943 | 41% | 2017-11-24 | Lost |
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 959 | 1431 | 6% | 2013-04-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1014 | 61% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 972 | 60% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 1138 | 1216 | 39% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1016 | 47% | 2011-06-19 | Won |
| 987 | 983 | 51% | 2011-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1090.2 has a 40.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).