Guns for St. Barbara
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (13 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1157 | 1109 | 57% | 2022-07-26 | Won |
905 | 1284 | 10% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
1050 | 1284 | 21% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
1027 | 987 | 56% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
992 | 988 | 51% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-06-15 | Tied |
1056 | 959 | 64% | 2014-05-15 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
937 | 895 | 56% | 2011-07-04 | Won |
1012 | 1197 | 26% | 2011-03-19 | Lost |
940 | 1108 | 28% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1005.9 vs 1070.5 has a 40.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).