Guns for St. Barbara
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1157 | 1109 | 57% | 2022-07-26 | Won |
905 | 1283 | 10% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
1047 | 1283 | 20% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
933 | 1158 | 21% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
994 | 989 | 51% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
999 | 1017 | 47% | 2014-06-15 | Tied |
1056 | 943 | 66% | 2014-05-15 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
937 | 895 | 56% | 2011-07-04 | Won |
1025 | 1141 | 34% | 2011-03-19 | Lost |
940 | 1055 | 34% | 2011-01-14 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1008.3 vs 1064.5 has a 41.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).