The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1149 | 1075 | 60% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
1138 | 1189 | 43% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
944 | 1138 | 25% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
1112 | 1307 | 25% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
1117 | 1090 | 54% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
965 | 1141 | 27% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1124.4 has a 39.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).