The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1109 | 55% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1135 | 37% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 906 | 60% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
| 945 | 1046 | 36% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1030 | 64% | 2011-11-24 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1219 | 35% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 951 | 75% | 2011-09-25 | Won |
| 1035 | 1137 | 36% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1060 | 68% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 1160 | 25% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1140 | 43% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1079.9 vs 1077 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).