The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1148 | 1138 | 51% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1127 | 44% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 977 | 919 | 58% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
| 946 | 1087 | 31% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1100 | 58% | 2011-11-24 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1310 | 24% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1139 | 47% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 962 | 60% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
| 1148 | 994 | 71% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 1184 | 22% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1085.2 has a 46.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).