Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 1059 | 53% | 2024-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2018-12-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2018-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1134 | 42% | 2017-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1132 | 38% | 2015-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1048 | 48% | 2015-03-22 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2013-09-21 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1183 | 28% | 2011-06-08 | | Won |
| 1194 | 1022 | 73% | 2011-04-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1056.5 has a 52.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).