First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 5
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1134 | 997 | 69% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1226 | 34% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1019 | 1134 | 34% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1276 | 26% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1232 | 42% | 2011-08-28 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1026 | 77% | 2011-05-19 | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1110.8 vs 1116.4 has a 49.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).