Messervy's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (British): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1398 | 10% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
979 | 1003 | 47% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
949 | 1064 | 34% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2022-02-12 | Won |
964 | 1012 | 43% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
1018 | 1060 | 44% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
861 | 1109 | 19% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
1014 | 1107 | 37% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
1122 | 1003 | 66% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
1007 | 1048 | 44% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1035 | 1043 | 49% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
948 | 1069 | 33% | 2013-08-18 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
920 | 985 | 41% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
943 | 1048 | 35% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
1063 | 1078 | 48% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
895 | 937 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
748 | 943 | 25% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
955 | 1138 | 26% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 994.6 vs 1054.7 has a 41.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).