Ugly Faces
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (11 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (French / British): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1028 | 979 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
1225 | 1169 | 58% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
1109 | 921 | 75% | 2018-07-15 | Won |
1283 | 1154 | 68% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
935 | 992 | 42% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
1105 | 985 | 67% | 2011-04-12 | Lost |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
943 | 1015 | 40% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
937 | 895 | 56% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.5 vs 1020.4 has a 54.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).