Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2025-06-23 | Won |
| 1038 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1070 | 977 | 63% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1070 | 60% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 928 | 1015 | 38% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 1075 | 37% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1076 | 913 | 72% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1029 | 37% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 979 | 1216 | 20% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1079 | 43% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1146 | 41% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 786 | 80% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1146 | 1044 | 64% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 864 | 71% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1167 | 1122 | 56% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1342 | 1149 | 75% | 2012-03-02 | Lost |
| 918 | 1077 | 29% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1117 | 53% | 2011-11-11 | Won |
| 1083 | 1167 | 38% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 777 | 1140 | 11% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1034 | 67% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 869 | 66% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1434 | 1006 | 92% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1140 | 28% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 846 | 77% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1187 | 1219 | 45% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1109 | 77% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1083 | 40% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1175 | 34% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1059.5 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).