Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (28 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 58
Defender wins (German): 70
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
976 | 1007 | 46% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
1026 | 1008 | 53% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
1155 | 1204 | 43% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
980 | 972 | 51% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
934 | 992 | 42% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1091 | 1285 | 25% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
1036 | 1093 | 42% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
1051 | 1011 | 56% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
1044 | 849 | 75% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
1011 | 1089 | 39% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1082 | 1056 | 54% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
1019 | 864 | 71% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
941 | 1063 | 33% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
1108 | 1082 | 54% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
990 | 870 | 67% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
1193 | 1034 | 71% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
1360 | 1309 | 57% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
1186 | 1314 | 32% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
1273 | 1133 | 69% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
1104 | 1082 | 53% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
1011 | 1108 | 36% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
904 | 944 | 44% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1068.9 has a 47.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).