Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1007 | 42% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
857 | 1022 | 28% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
979 | 972 | 51% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
935 | 994 | 42% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1090 | 1283 | 25% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
1036 | 1109 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
1051 | 985 | 59% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
1048 | 849 | 76% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
985 | 1088 | 36% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1063 | 1056 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
1019 | 888 | 68% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
941 | 1069 | 32% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
1019 | 1227 | 23% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
1055 | 1063 | 49% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
943 | 870 | 60% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
1141 | 1034 | 65% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
1398 | 1302 | 63% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
1186 | 1307 | 33% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
1273 | 1075 | 76% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
994 | 1055 | 41% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1055.6 has a 49.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).