Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 22
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 946 | 67% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1045 | 1060 | 48% | 2021-10-25 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1287 | 36% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1013 | 1054 | 44% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1029 | 61% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1116 | 1139 | 47% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 900 | 1062 | 28% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1223 | 1004 | 78% | 2020-05-27 | Won |
| 1022 | 1216 | 25% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
| 1310 | 992 | 86% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1019 | 979 | 56% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1114 | 1075 | 56% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1216 | 890 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 1001 | 51% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1138 | 43% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1275 | 1030 | 80% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2015-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1004 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 981 | 66% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1004 | 51% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
| 1197 | 1087 | 65% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 917 | 1205 | 16% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1077 | 49% | 2013-10-27 | Tied |
| 958 | 849 | 65% | 2013-10-27 | Won |
| 1245 | 1077 | 72% | 2013-10-24 | Lost |
| 1077 | 849 | 79% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1196 | 27% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1067 | 41% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 1105 | 40% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1053 | 48% | 2012-06-02 | Won |
| 1273 | 1400 | 32% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1310 | 1013 | 85% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 1022 | 841 | 74% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1310 | 32% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1028 | 67% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1023 | 84% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1310 | 22% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1010 | 58% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1273 | 1031 | 80% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1138 | 29% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1104.9 vs 1063.4 has a 55.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).