Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 28
Defender wins (German): 22
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1097 | 33% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1151 | 41% | 2025-05-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 933 | 77% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1066 | 1076 | 49% | 2021-10-25 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1220 | 46% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1087 | 1054 | 55% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1030 | 59% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1110 | 51% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 902 | 982 | 39% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 995 | 79% | 2020-05-27 | Won |
| 1134 | 1218 | 38% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
| 1234 | 993 | 80% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 985 | 975 | 51% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1264 | 1111 | 71% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1264 | 1138 | 67% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1064 | 1114 | 43% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1264 | 1338 | 40% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1218 | 893 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1036 | 82% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1159 | 46% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 876 | 74% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2015-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1003 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 997 | 1003 | 49% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
| 1198 | 983 | 78% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 1195 | 1131 | 59% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 996 | 786 | 77% | 2013-10-27 | Won |
| 1067 | 1072 | 49% | 2013-10-27 | Tied |
| 1245 | 1072 | 73% | 2013-10-24 | Lost |
| 1072 | 786 | 84% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1134 | 1276 | 31% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1071 | 41% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1040 | 1129 | 37% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1027 | 51% | 2012-06-02 | Won |
| 1347 | 1429 | 38% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1195 | 41% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1234 | 1028 | 77% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 1134 | 827 | 85% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1234 | 42% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1047 | 67% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1027 | 77% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 922 | 1234 | 14% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1162 | 47% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1019 | 882 | 69% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1347 | 1040 | 85% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1080 | 43% | 2010-10-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1116.9 vs 1065.5 has a 57.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).