Dutch Courage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (12 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Dutch): 27
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Dutch): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1211 | 1311 | 36% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
954 | 1135 | 26% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
954 | 1211 | 19% | 2024-05-01 | Lost |
857 | 1022 | 28% | 2023-03-16 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2020-08-30 | Lost |
973 | 985 | 48% | 2019-05-12 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2016-05-29 | Won |
1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-06-06 | Lost |
1169 | 1307 | 31% | 2010-12-27 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2010-11-25 | Won |
949 | 1055 | 35% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043 vs 1101 has a 41.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).