Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (45 on the archive and 105 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 71
Defender wins (German): 79
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1005 | 917 | 62% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
1012 | 994 | 53% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
992 | 1138 | 30% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
964 | 952 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
1080 | 920 | 72% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
1032 | 1175 | 31% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
946 | 911 | 55% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
1149 | 1176 | 46% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
983 | 1015 | 45% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
1091 | 1087 | 51% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
1071 | 980 | 63% | 2019-07-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
1110 | 997 | 66% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
938 | 1160 | 22% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
1156 | 986 | 73% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
1001 | 1013 | 48% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
989 | 925 | 59% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
971 | 986 | 48% | 2015-07-17 | Lost |
980 | 1095 | 34% | 2015-07-09 | Won |
1063 | 992 | 60% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
984 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
1156 | 1307 | 30% | 2014-03-21 | Lost |
887 | 1051 | 28% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
1087 | 955 | 68% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1016 | 1068 | 43% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
1114 | 1145 | 46% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
879 | 1153 | 17% | 2012-04-30 | Lost |
994 | 1020 | 46% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
1019 | 1066 | 43% | 2011-10-30 | Lost |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
1101 | 989 | 66% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
1228 | 1019 | 77% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
1327 | 1032 | 85% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
1093 | 1141 | 43% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
989 | 1204 | 22% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
963 | 1040 | 39% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
1108 | 940 | 72% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1054.3 has a 48.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).