A Midnight Clear
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1202 | 40% | 2026-06-10 | Won |
| 1263 | 1024 | 80% | 2025-03-25 | Won |
| 1025 | 1131 | 35% | 2021-12-20 | Won |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2021-03-07 | Lost |
| 1083 | 918 | 72% | 2019-04-11 | Tied |
| 1107 | 1066 | 56% | 2017-08-04 | Tied |
| 1121 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-04-05 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1080 | 79% | 2011-01-02 | Won |
| 1070 | 1215 | 30% | 2010-09-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1134.3 vs 1077.6 has a 58.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).