The Revenge of the Greys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (39 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 74
Defender wins (German): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2023-12-19 | Lost |
1018 | 1078 | 41% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
1200 | 1103 | 64% | 2023-06-25 | Won |
1020 | 1039 | 47% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
930 | 1163 | 21% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
1048 | 1078 | 46% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
1018 | 1142 | 33% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
1009 | 1018 | 49% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
977 | 974 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
1009 | 1142 | 32% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
1284 | 971 | 86% | 2018-10-29 | Won |
1013 | 964 | 57% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-12-28 | Won |
1015 | 980 | 55% | 2017-10-27 | Won |
1249 | 1282 | 45% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
997 | 1110 | 34% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
1050 | 984 | 59% | 2016-05-26 | Lost |
904 | 1284 | 10% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
969 | 933 | 55% | 2013-08-02 | Won |
1067 | 889 | 74% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
988 | 991 | 50% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
1107 | 1014 | 63% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
1107 | 851 | 81% | 2011-11-03 | Won |
1161 | 1115 | 57% | 2011-08-09 | Won |
1151 | 1289 | 31% | 2011-07-30 | Won |
1068 | 976 | 63% | 2011-06-17 | Won |
976 | 945 | 54% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
987 | 914 | 60% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
1039 | 1008 | 54% | 2010-12-01 | Won |
1005 | 945 | 59% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
697 | 1047 | 12% | 2010-08-21 | Lost |
983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-08-14 | Lost |
1087 | 1092 | 49% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
1102 | 1003 | 64% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1045 has a 48.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).