Shouting Into The Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 217 (52 on the archive and 165 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 120
Defender wins (Russian): 96
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 1096 | 36% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 883 | 894 | 48% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 1134 | 957 | 73% | 2024-10-16 | Won |
| 938 | 1108 | 27% | 2024-08-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1062 | 40% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1126 | 56% | 2024-06-15 | Won |
| 945 | 957 | 48% | 2024-06-11 | Won |
| 1047 | 1055 | 49% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1126 | 1203 | 39% | 2024-06-03 | Won |
| 1302 | 1080 | 78% | 2024-05-29 | Won |
| 1050 | 1051 | 50% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 967 | 1205 | 20% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1204 | 50% | 2022-10-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 931 | 59% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 1028 | 75% | 2021-12-24 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-12-14 | Lost |
| 931 | 1173 | 20% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1143 | 54% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2020-11-30 | Won |
| 1195 | 1033 | 72% | 2020-04-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 998 | 59% | 2019-10-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1157 | 41% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2018-03-13 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2017-07-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1161 | 33% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1310 | 929 | 90% | 2016-03-19 | Won |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2015-07-25 | Won |
| 1242 | 1061 | 74% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1061 | 945 | 66% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 999 | 1061 | 41% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1061 | 60% | 2015-02-26 | Won |
| 1111 | 1136 | 46% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1154 | 1066 | 62% | 2014-11-04 | Won |
| 1136 | 1117 | 53% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 966 | 880 | 62% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1099 | 59% | 2013-08-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 861 | 78% | 2012-06-27 | Won |
| 976 | 1023 | 43% | 2012-01-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1405 | 13% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1160 | 29% | 2011-02-15 | Lost |
| 864 | 1024 | 28% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1302 | 18% | 2011-01-12 | Won |
| 1158 | 1090 | 60% | 2010-09-26 | Won |
| 1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2010-09-15 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1158 | 39% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1079 | 884 | 75% | 2010-07-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1160 | 27% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1105 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (33 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1077.5 has a 49.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).