Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
| 970 | 968 | 50% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
| 1238 | 1154 | 62% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 1113 | 44% | 2020-03-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1131 | 37% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 1131 | 37% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1131 | 1038 | 63% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1231 | 28% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 893 | 87% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
| 1161 | 1117 | 56% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 875 | 78% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
| 1108 | 1185 | 39% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 1132 | 51% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 694 | 1233 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1233 | 32% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1127 | 46% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1092.9 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).