Nishne, Nyet!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (18 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-02-04 | Won |
987 | 1138 | 30% | 2022-10-06 | Won |
1289 | 1011 | 83% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
1049 | 1183 | 32% | 2018-10-08 | Won |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
1183 | 1049 | 68% | 2018-06-03 | Lost |
1090 | 1307 | 22% | 2017-06-10 | Lost |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2017-04-26 | Won |
1066 | 1074 | 49% | 2013-12-28 | Won |
1099 | 933 | 72% | 2013-09-17 | Won |
1107 | 1049 | 58% | 2011-11-12 | Won |
1228 | 1007 | 78% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
697 | 1228 | 4% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
1090 | 1228 | 31% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2010-11-17 | Lost |
1055 | 1097 | 44% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1088.4 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).