Taking Heads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (45 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 84
Defender wins (American): 78
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1001 | 73% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 941 | 1011 | 40% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1050 | 44% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 907 | 1009 | 36% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 955 | 948 | 51% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 986 | 64% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
| 1028 | 983 | 56% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1084 | 51% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 949 | 937 | 52% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1106 | 52% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
| 875 | 1125 | 19% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 962 | 1064 | 36% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2020-03-22 | Lost |
| 1183 | 991 | 75% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1115 | 1130 | 48% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 869 | 83% | 2018-10-30 | Won |
| 962 | 1022 | 41% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1130 | 36% | 2018-07-03 | Lost |
| 888 | 966 | 39% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1242 | 1140 | 64% | 2018-06-10 | Lost |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
| 1087 | 1133 | 43% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-09 | Won |
| 963 | 1140 | 27% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1084 | 41% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 847 | 868 | 47% | 2015-03-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2014-06-14 | Won |
| 1310 | 1074 | 80% | 2013-04-14 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1074 | 80% | 2013-03-10 | Lost |
| 937 | 765 | 73% | 2012-12-01 | Won |
| 1138 | 1040 | 64% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1274 | 1069 | 76% | 2011-07-29 | Won |
| 966 | 1168 | 24% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 888 | 68% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1056 | 1066 | 49% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1102 | 1018 | 62% | 2011-02-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1101 | 44% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2010-08-15 | Won |
| 1086 | 1100 | 48% | 2010-08-13 | Won |
| 1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 920 | 1017 | 36% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1037.2 has a 51.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).