Far From Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 25
Defender wins (Republican): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1118 | 1118 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | Won |
955 | 1055 | 36% | 2022-07-27 | Won |
1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
1284 | 936 | 88% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
1050 | 1044 | 51% | 2020-11-17 | Won |
922 | 1110 | 25% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
1057 | 1005 | 57% | 2020-01-21 | Won |
875 | 955 | 39% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
979 | 1048 | 40% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
1130 | 1224 | 37% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
1224 | 1130 | 63% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
1224 | 1185 | 56% | 2018-08-24 | Won |
1055 | 944 | 65% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
1110 | 983 | 68% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1133 | 1049 | 62% | 2015-09-25 | Won |
1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-09-03 | Lost |
1249 | 938 | 86% | 2013-09-16 | Won |
1093 | 975 | 66% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
1133 | 1074 | 58% | 2013-05-12 | Won |
1087 | 1010 | 61% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-08-05 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-23 | Won |
1022 | 994 | 54% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
969 | 1037 | 40% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
1123 | 984 | 69% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2010-12-01 | Lost |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2010-10-15 | Won |
1138 | 1019 | 66% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
1021 | 1138 | 34% | 2010-07-30 | Lost |
1096 | 1049 | 57% | 2010-07-04 | Won |
1051 | 1040 | 52% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
1068 | 1215 | 30% | 2010-06-19 | Lost |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2010-06-16 | Lost |
1149 | 1087 | 59% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
983 | 1017 | 45% | 2010-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1074.4 vs 1047.6 has a 53.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).