Far From Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 150 (37 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 88
Defender wins (Republican): 62
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2022-11-02 | Won |
924 | 917 | 51% | 2022-07-27 | Won |
1180 | 992 | 75% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
925 | 917 | 51% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
1284 | 961 | 87% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | Won |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2020-07-12 | Lost |
1057 | 1005 | 57% | 2020-01-21 | Won |
890 | 954 | 41% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
980 | 1050 | 40% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
1183 | 1225 | 44% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
1225 | 1183 | 56% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2018-08-24 | Won |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2018-08-05 | Won |
1109 | 987 | 67% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1131 | 1049 | 62% | 2015-09-25 | Won |
1143 | 1068 | 61% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2014-09-03 | Lost |
1160 | 938 | 78% | 2013-09-16 | Won |
1115 | 975 | 69% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2013-05-12 | Won |
1063 | 1026 | 55% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-08-05 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2012-07-23 | Won |
1022 | 994 | 54% | 2012-07-21 | Won |
989 | 1052 | 41% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2010-12-01 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2010-10-15 | Won |
1087 | 1018 | 60% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
1020 | 1087 | 40% | 2010-07-30 | Lost |
1096 | 1050 | 57% | 2010-07-04 | Won |
1069 | 1043 | 54% | 2010-07-03 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2010-06-16 | Lost |
1149 | 1063 | 62% | 2010-04-23 | Won |
983 | 1017 | 45% | 2010-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1066.4 vs 1036.1 has a 54.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).