Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (39 on the archive and 110 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (Polish): 86
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1181 | 39% | 2026-08-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1102 | 48% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1057 | 44% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1019 | 52% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1187 | 1253 | 41% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1004 | 1079 | 39% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 947 | 1040 | 37% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1073 | 47% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 987 | 1031 | 44% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 967 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1134 | 45% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1214 | 1218 | 49% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1108 | 55% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 995 | 1102 | 35% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1073 | 698 | 90% | 2014-06-14 | Lost |
| 974 | 1063 | 37% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 1052 | 47% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1063 | 41% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1202 | 38% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1037 | 56% | 2012-05-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
| 815 | 936 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 913 | 985 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1011 | 57% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1146 | 35% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1181 | 941 | 80% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1219 | 38% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
| 1126 | 1103 | 53% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1051.4 vs 1058.7 has a 48.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).