Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Republican): 9
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Lost |
1118 | 1118 | 50% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-11 | Won |
977 | 969 | 51% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
1279 | 1123 | 71% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
936 | 1284 | 12% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
1090 | 1110 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
1008 | 1057 | 43% | 2020-03-09 | Won |
964 | 1249 | 16% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
1093 | 1097 | 49% | 2017-09-06 | Won |
949 | 906 | 56% | 2017-06-26 | Won |
1249 | 1120 | 68% | 2017-03-17 | Lost |
933 | 980 | 43% | 2016-03-07 | Won |
933 | 896 | 55% | 2015-12-08 | Lost |
964 | 1097 | 32% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1035 | 992 | 56% | 2013-05-23 | Lost |
1055 | 969 | 62% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1074.6 has a 46.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).