Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (5 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1110 | 1042 | 60% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
1115 | 1028 | 62% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
1095 | 1128 | 45% | 2015-07-08 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
858 | 989 | 32% | 2011-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1031.6 vs 1094.2 has a 41.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).