Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (5 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1110 | 1003 | 65% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
1090 | 1120 | 46% | 2015-07-08 | Won |
979 | 1283 | 15% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
841 | 985 | 30% | 2011-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1084.4 has a 41.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).