An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (10 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 63
Defender wins (German): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
838 | 879 | 44% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
804 | 1160 | 11% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
948 | 1198 | 19% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
948 | 899 | 57% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1160 | 991 | 73% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
977 | 862 | 66% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
1115 | 975 | 69% | 2012-12-15 | Lost |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2012-03-22 | Lost |
988 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
988 | 914 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 975.5 vs 998.6 has a 46.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).