An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (10 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 63
Defender wins (German): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
855 | 872 | 48% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
779 | 1211 | 8% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1020 | 1144 | 33% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1020 | 899 | 67% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1211 | 1003 | 77% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
943 | 866 | 61% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
1094 | 975 | 66% | 2012-12-15 | Lost |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2012-03-22 | Lost |
987 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
987 | 914 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 988.1 vs 999 has a 48.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).