An Uncommon Occurrence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (11 on the archive and 99 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 44
Defender wins (German): 66
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 851 | 64% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 752 | 1221 | 6% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 902 | 61% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1221 | 954 | 82% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 884 | 863 | 53% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1108 | 975 | 68% | 2012-12-15 | Lost |
| 1134 | 976 | 71% | 2012-03-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 1131 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Won |
| 985 | 913 | 60% | 2011-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1004.6 vs 997.7 has a 50.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).