Coke Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (20 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1064 | 34% | 2025-08-20 | | Tied |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2025-04-10 | | Won |
| 952 | 1146 | 25% | 2025-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 954 | 69% | 2025-03-07 | | Won |
| 1064 | 999 | 59% | 2025-03-07 | | Won |
| 954 | 808 | 70% | 2025-03-06 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1064 | 64% | 2025-02-11 | | Won |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2024-12-28 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2024-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2024-08-10 | | Lost |
| 841 | 999 | 29% | 2024-03-19 | | Won |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2024-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2023-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2021-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1076 | 58% | 2020-10-27 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2020-07-13 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1179 | 59% | 2016-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2015-12-03 | | Won |
| 695 | 1062 | 11% | 2011-01-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1025.4 vs 1044.9 has a 47.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).