Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1023 | 59% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1064 | 998 | 59% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1161 | 48% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1019 | 53% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1127 | 884 | 80% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1015 | 913 | 64% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 913 | 64% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1190 | 1261 | 40% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1234 | 27% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 983 | 1182 | 24% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1338 | 40% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1264 | 953 | 86% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1153 | 983 | 73% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 930 | 1110 | 26% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1110 | 1157 | 43% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 1071 | 48% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1343 | 1108 | 79% | 2010-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1097.6 vs 1064.2 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).