Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 50
Defender wins (Japanese): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1004 | 62% | 2024-10-17 | | Won |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2024-03-06 | | Won |
| 952 | 1146 | 25% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2023-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1128 | 921 | 77% | 2021-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2021-02-16 | | Won |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2020-09-26 | | Won |
| 1231 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-07-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1219 | 28% | 2018-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1182 | 30% | 2018-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-07-29 | | Won |
| 1242 | 953 | 84% | 2016-12-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2015-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2015-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2012-09-21 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1171 | 45% | 2012-09-18 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2012-08-15 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2012-07-07 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2010-02-06 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1087.5 vs 1042.7 has a 56.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).