Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (19 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (Japanese): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1109 | 890 | 78% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
948 | 1198 | 19% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
1065 | 1043 | 53% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
1126 | 977 | 70% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
1015 | 1063 | 43% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
1197 | 1068 | 68% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
1087 | 1098 | 48% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
955 | 1087 | 32% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
1050 | 986 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
927 | 1095 | 28% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
1050 | 1068 | 47% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1033.6 has a 54.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).