Sugar Cane Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (15 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 32
Defender wins (Filipino): 31
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Filipino): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1035 | 43% | 2026-03-20 | Won |
| 996 | 1016 | 47% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 1040 | 47% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 884 | 986 | 36% | 2024-07-23 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1061 | 62% | 2024-01-25 | Tied |
| 1019 | 1008 | 52% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 982 | 69% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 975 | 1063 | 38% | 2021-09-10 | Won |
| 1136 | 1179 | 44% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
| 938 | 1131 | 25% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1052 | 904 | 70% | 2018-06-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 826 | 80% | 2018-06-17 | Won |
| 920 | 1023 | 36% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1079 | 74% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1058 | 62% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1026.1 has a 52.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).