Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (21 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (French): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 968 | 38% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1003 | 65% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1306 | 993 | 86% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 987 | 986 | 50% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1113 | 37% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1065 | 60% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1087 | 49% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1005 | 45% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1129 | 20% | 2016-02-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1131 | 30% | 2015-05-31 | Won |
| 1230 | 993 | 80% | 2013-03-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 907 | 80% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1052 | 694 | 89% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 694 | 89% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1197 | 1140 | 58% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1127 | 1313 | 26% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1086.2 vs 1046.5 has a 55.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).