Mai Phu
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (21 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 51
Defender wins (French): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 986 | 36% | 2024-06-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1123 | 31% | 2022-08-17 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1306 | 993 | 86% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
| 987 | 985 | 50% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1175 | 31% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1019 | 67% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1067 | 50% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1338 | 40% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1129 | 20% | 2016-02-09 | Won |
| 1195 | 1131 | 59% | 2015-05-31 | Won |
| 1167 | 993 | 73% | 2013-03-11 | Won |
| 1151 | 927 | 78% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1040 | 694 | 88% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 694 | 88% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1197 | 1140 | 58% | 2012-03-17 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2012-01-15 | Won |
| 1167 | 1061 | 65% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1159 | 1303 | 30% | 2011-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1090.8 vs 1047.1 has a 56.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).