Slaughter at Nanyaun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (11 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 17
Defender wins (Chinese): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1063 | 49% | 2024-05-18 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 1200 | 40% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1050 | 63% | 2022-06-15 | Won |
| 1077 | 1168 | 37% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1062 | 49% | 2018-12-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2016-05-25 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1310 | 20% | 2015-01-09 | Lost |
| 995 | 1183 | 25% | 2014-03-12 | Won |
| 1067 | 958 | 65% | 2013-11-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2010-04-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1128.1 has a 42.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).