Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
933 | 1031 | 36% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
875 | 1110 | 21% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
905 | 933 | 46% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
1022 | 1061 | 44% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
1106 | 1118 | 48% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
933 | 927 | 51% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
1038 | 1152 | 34% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
1078 | 1018 | 59% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
1009 | 927 | 62% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
969 | 1018 | 43% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
1115 | 986 | 68% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
1028 | 933 | 63% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
964 | 1250 | 16% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
1162 | 1013 | 70% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
1249 | 964 | 84% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
1047 | 697 | 88% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
1055 | 1183 | 32% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
1003 | 1097 | 37% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
925 | 1030 | 35% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
1307 | 1022 | 84% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
1138 | 1042 | 63% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
1112 | 1087 | 54% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
1067 | 1012 | 58% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
1048 | 973 | 61% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
1001 | 1115 | 34% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
964 | 1142 | 26% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
1107 | 1112 | 49% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
1135 | 997 | 69% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
1087 | 1048 | 56% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
1138 | 951 | 75% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
1138 | 1095 | 56% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
1055 | 1030 | 54% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1040.5 has a 52.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).