Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 167 (34 on the archive and 133 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 81
Defender wins (Chinese): 86
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
916 | 977 | 41% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
1026 | 1061 | 45% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
1168 | 1173 | 49% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
977 | 928 | 57% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
942 | 1204 | 18% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
1010 | 994 | 52% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
1016 | 938 | 61% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
1013 | 1018 | 49% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
1133 | 986 | 70% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
1010 | 1249 | 20% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
1163 | 1027 | 69% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
1003 | 1142 | 31% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
925 | 1030 | 35% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
1307 | 1226 | 61% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
1087 | 1043 | 56% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
1113 | 1063 | 57% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
1068 | 1001 | 60% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
1050 | 972 | 61% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
1007 | 1073 | 41% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
1010 | 951 | 58% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
1063 | 1048 | 52% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
1087 | 1039 | 57% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
1087 | 1096 | 49% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
1055 | 1030 | 54% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1045.2 has a 51.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).