Melee Near the Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 951 | 47% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1025 | 51% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 873 | 1218 | 12% | 2024-04-22 | Lost |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2024-01-30 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1031 | 47% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 980 | 920 | 59% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1222 | 1115 | 65% | 2022-10-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1157 | 32% | 2022-06-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1080 | 55% | 2022-05-08 | Won |
| 1070 | 950 | 67% | 2022-02-18 | Won |
| 1010 | 944 | 59% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 913 | 1006 | 37% | 2020-09-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 986 | 63% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 970 | 1032 | 41% | 2017-08-21 | Lost |
| 999 | 1244 | 20% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1011 | 71% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1225 | 999 | 79% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 1097 | 697 | 91% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
| 980 | 1203 | 22% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
| 980 | 1203 | 22% | 2016-03-11 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1153 | 30% | 2015-01-24 | Lost |
| 924 | 1029 | 35% | 2015-01-23 | Won |
| 1309 | 1051 | 82% | 2014-12-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1025 | 47% | 2014-12-04 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1041 | 53% | 2014-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2013-06-08 | Won |
| 1111 | 1029 | 62% | 2013-05-24 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1006 | 59% | 2013-03-26 | Lost |
| 1025 | 964 | 59% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1058 | 973 | 62% | 2012-03-05 | Won |
| 1001 | 1113 | 34% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 1166 | 28% | 2011-09-03 | Won |
| 1136 | 1117 | 53% | 2011-08-31 | Lost |
| 1201 | 975 | 79% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 1046 | 48% | 2011-01-22 | Lost |
| 1061 | 946 | 66% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1061 | 935 | 67% | 2010-09-18 | Won |
| 1056 | 1029 | 54% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1039.2 has a 51.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).