Ride of the 200th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 11
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 913 | 64% | 2021-07-25 | Won |
| 1227 | 1306 | 39% | 2021-05-14 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1144 | 33% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 953 | 1080 | 32% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1264 | 60% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1120 | 1110 | 51% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1190 | 1083 | 65% | 2011-04-13 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1125.7 vs 1121.3 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).