Clearing Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 946 | 53% | 2025-11-30 | Lost |
| 923 | 964 | 44% | 2024-01-02 | Lost |
| 964 | 923 | 56% | 2023-12-31 | Won |
| 923 | 946 | 47% | 2023-07-06 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1172 | 39% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1047 | 44% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 878 | 861 | 52% | 2021-11-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 828 | 57% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1127 | 57% | 2021-07-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1031 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 900 | 891 | 51% | 2020-08-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-11-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1089 | 68% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 879 | 631 | 81% | 2019-06-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 964 | 53% | 2018-07-06 | Won |
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
| 954 | 946 | 51% | 2018-03-26 | Won |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2015-09-22 | Lost |
| 943 | 1099 | 29% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
| 1233 | 1006 | 79% | 2014-10-22 | Won |
| 1048 | 971 | 61% | 2014-04-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-12-26 | Won |
| 954 | 946 | 51% | 2013-04-24 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1068 | 42% | 2010-04-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 959 | 61% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
| 1085 | 1060 | 54% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1085 | 46% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1068 | 1015 | 58% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 827 | 827 | 50% | 2009-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1013.4 vs 996 has a 52.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).