Forest Devil
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 12
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1039 | 1068 | 46% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
1034 | 1087 | 42% | 2020-06-29 | Lost |
1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
1019 | 1057 | 45% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
1102 | 1090 | 52% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
1117 | 1069 | 57% | 2010-10-05 | Won |
964 | 1090 | 33% | 2010-08-02 | Won |
974 | 1090 | 34% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
1169 | 1307 | 31% | 2010-05-26 | Won |
1097 | 1005 | 63% | 2010-04-10 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-03-16 | Won |
1152 | 1078 | 60% | 2010-02-24 | Won |
912 | 1055 | 31% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
961 | 1078 | 34% | 2009-08-24 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1081.8 has a 46.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).