Encircle This!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (16 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 1195 | 18% | 2025-03-13 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1195 | 32% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1195 | 28% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1050 | 56% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1009 | 75% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1061 | 46% | 2015-11-06 | Won |
| 1166 | 1040 | 67% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 1110 | 908 | 76% | 2010-04-21 | Won |
| 1018 | 1020 | 50% | 2010-03-13 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1158 | 29% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 852 | 72% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
| 983 | 1160 | 27% | 2009-11-28 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.7 vs 1065.2 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).