Cutting Off the Tail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (4 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Kuomintang (KMT)): 2
Defender wins (Red Army): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1138 | 893 | 80% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 1005 | 58% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1066 | 60% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
| 1100 | 1155 | 42% | 2009-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1108.3 vs 1029.8 has a 61.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).