Sowchos 79
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 877 | 1195 | 14% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1107 | 66% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 908 | 81% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 954 | 943 | 52% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 1023 | 976 | 57% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 943 | 1033 | 37% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1144 | 1093 | 57% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 1033 | 958 | 61% | 2011-07-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 1133 | 45% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1064 | 63% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1075 vs 1047.2 has a 53.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).