Sowchos 79
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (13 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1054 | 42% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1032 | 70% | 2024-10-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 950 | 77% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1135 | 62% | 2019-11-21 | Lost |
| 948 | 956 | 49% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 976 | 69% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
| 956 | 1033 | 39% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1144 | 1108 | 55% | 2013-10-19 | Won |
| 956 | 957 | 50% | 2011-07-27 | Won |
| 1015 | 1059 | 44% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2010-10-29 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1042 | 65% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.7 vs 1039 has a 54.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).