A Winter Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 9
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1092 | 1075 | 52% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
1032 | 951 | 61% | 2018-07-20 | Won |
964 | 1147 | 26% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
1003 | 999 | 51% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
1211 | 961 | 81% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
943 | 912 | 54% | 2015-11-30 | Lost |
1074 | 1081 | 49% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
1014 | 990 | 53% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
1287 | 1311 | 47% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
1035 | 1019 | 52% | 2012-12-07 | Lost |
1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2011-09-10 | Lost |
1003 | 961 | 56% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 1990-08-22 | Tied |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1036.9 has a 52.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).