A Winter Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (18 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 26
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
1012 | 951 | 59% | 2018-07-20 | Won |
1013 | 1140 | 32% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
991 | 999 | 49% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
1160 | 961 | 76% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
977 | 908 | 60% | 2015-11-30 | Lost |
1095 | 1080 | 52% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
1288 | 1327 | 44% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2012-12-07 | Lost |
1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2011-09-10 | Lost |
991 | 961 | 54% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
990 | 1045 | 42% | 1990-08-22 | Tied |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1053.3 vs 1036.7 has a 52.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).