Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1152 | 1038 | 66% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
1154 | 1284 | 32% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
1284 | 978 | 85% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
1130 | 1224 | 37% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
1055 | 955 | 64% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
1171 | 1224 | 42% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
1133 | 1074 | 58% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
963 | 933 | 54% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
976 | 969 | 51% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
1097 | 1055 | 56% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
980 | 1047 | 40% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1098.5 vs 1075.3 has a 53.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).