Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
| 1172 | 1217 | 44% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1217 | 35% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1217 | 993 | 78% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1083 | 53% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1226 | 49% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 948 | 55% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2018-12-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 961 | 71% | 2017-06-22 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 960 | 885 | 61% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2012-08-24 | Won |
| 982 | 1129 | 30% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1097 | 54% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
| 961 | 1052 | 37% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1102.5 vs 1072.8 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).