Road to Kozani Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (13 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (British/New Zealand): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1204 | 942 | 82% | 2022-11-26 | Won |
1149 | 1284 | 31% | 2021-10-30 | Lost |
1284 | 978 | 85% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
1096 | 1109 | 48% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
1183 | 1225 | 44% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2018-12-24 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2018-10-07 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2014-04-21 | Lost |
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
963 | 977 | 48% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2012-07-21 | Lost |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2010-10-09 | Tied |
956 | 1108 | 29% | 2010-02-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1122.4 vs 1079.9 has a 56.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).