Insult to Injury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 986 | 60% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 808 | 1076 | 18% | 2024-06-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 1108 | 65% | 2016-09-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2016-03-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-10 | Lost |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2015-12-19 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1069 | 60% | 2014-02-01 | Won |
| 1108 | 1033 | 61% | 2013-04-16 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
| 972 | 920 | 57% | 2011-05-11 | Won |
| 1121 | 1077 | 56% | 2011-04-19 | Won |
| 1034 | 855 | 74% | 2011-02-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 1219 | 28% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 918 | 74% | 2011-01-22 | Won |
| 1126 | 1090 | 55% | 2010-11-01 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1126 | 51% | 2010-08-01 | Won |
| 1191 | 1060 | 68% | 2009-02-15 | Won |
| 1167 | 1137 | 54% | 2009-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1100.6 vs 1061 has a 55.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).