The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 289 (71 on the archive and 218 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 119
Defender wins (Russian): 170
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
| 963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-05-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 924 | 62% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1062 | 53% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1147 | 31% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1070 | 51% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1091 | 67% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
| 959 | 1004 | 44% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1113 | 39% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1037 | 71% | 2020-02-25 | Won |
| 977 | 1046 | 40% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1111 | 1088 | 53% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1003 | 1219 | 22% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1004 | 987 | 52% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
| 1092 | 901 | 75% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
| 926 | 969 | 44% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 1093 | 30% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 901 | 65% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1012 | 54% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1050 | 1093 | 44% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1216 | 26% | 2016-07-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1037 | 74% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1083 | 47% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1143 | 1090 | 58% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 1080 | 1223 | 31% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1080 | 45% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 841 | 1002 | 28% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1017 | 948 | 60% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 992 | 1008 | 48% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 1053 | 1039 | 52% | 2012-10-30 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1037 | 71% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1195 | 29% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 1037 | 909 | 68% | 2011-01-17 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1055 | 44% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
| 1017 | 1088 | 40% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1176 | 1051 | 67% | 2010-02-14 | Lost |
| 1002 | 993 | 51% | 2009-11-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 976 | 56% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
| 987 | 885 | 64% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1070 | 47% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1099 | 48% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1018 | 49% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 908 | 61% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 968 | 60% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1096 | 44% | 2009-06-19 | Lost |
| 982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-05-20 | Won |
| 1176 | 1049 | 68% | 2009-05-14 | Won |
| 1008 | 1248 | 20% | 2009-04-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-04-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 939 | 71% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 1115 | 1088 | 54% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
| 1285 | 1302 | 48% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1028 | 56% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1009 | 43% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1073 | 44% | 2009-03-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1097 | 38% | 2009-03-06 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1080 | 44% | 2009-03-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1137 | 32% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
| 975 | 1176 | 24% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
| 1116 | 1169 | 42% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1046.4 has a 48.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).