The Meat Grinder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 282 (67 on the archive and 215 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 119
Defender wins (Russian): 163
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-03-18 | Lost |
963 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-05-14 | Lost |
929 | 919 | 51% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
994 | 1066 | 40% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
1052 | 1060 | 49% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
1109 | 1096 | 52% | 2020-07-07 | Lost |
943 | 1005 | 41% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
1003 | 1113 | 35% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2020-02-25 | Won |
977 | 1032 | 42% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
988 | 1283 | 15% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
1086 | 1055 | 54% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
1051 | 987 | 59% | 2018-01-19 | Lost |
1102 | 964 | 69% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
926 | 969 | 44% | 2018-01-01 | Lost |
943 | 1094 | 30% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
1041 | 1069 | 46% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
984 | 964 | 53% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
1138 | 1093 | 56% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
1003 | 1242 | 20% | 2016-07-15 | Lost |
1242 | 1003 | 80% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
1064 | 1048 | 52% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
1141 | 1089 | 57% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
1080 | 1225 | 30% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
990 | 1014 | 47% | 2014-02-26 | Lost |
895 | 1014 | 34% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
1017 | 948 | 60% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
1050 | 985 | 59% | 2012-10-30 | Won |
984 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-08-15 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
1069 | 1008 | 59% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
1022 | 1055 | 45% | 2010-10-10 | Won |
1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
1078 | 1049 | 54% | 2010-02-14 | Lost |
1000 | 993 | 51% | 2009-11-30 | Lost |
1019 | 976 | 56% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
990 | 886 | 65% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2009-09-18 | Lost |
1081 | 1074 | 51% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
1022 | 1019 | 50% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
985 | 1155 | 27% | 2009-06-24 | Lost |
1043 | 982 | 59% | 2009-06-20 | Lost |
1050 | 1096 | 43% | 2009-06-19 | Lost |
982 | 988 | 49% | 2009-05-20 | Won |
1078 | 1051 | 54% | 2009-05-14 | Won |
1003 | 1274 | 17% | 2009-04-25 | Lost |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-04-16 | Lost |
991 | 1055 | 41% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
1097 | 938 | 71% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2009-04-02 | Won |
1287 | 1307 | 47% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
1073 | 1004 | 60% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
961 | 1063 | 36% | 2009-03-17 | Lost |
1004 | 1073 | 40% | 2009-03-10 | Lost |
1063 | 1052 | 52% | 2009-03-06 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2009-02-25 | Won |
1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
1030 | 1062 | 45% | 2009-02-20 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2009-02-14 | Won |
1120 | 1075 | 56% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1029.7 vs 1045.4 has a 47.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).