Purple Heart Draw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1120 | 1048 | 60% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
1047 | 979 | 60% | 2019-02-12 | Won |
1283 | 945 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
933 | 1242 | 14% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
1242 | 970 | 83% | 2017-08-16 | Lost |
1067 | 1014 | 58% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
1067 | 1014 | 58% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
956 | 998 | 44% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
999 | 1047 | 43% | 2013-02-05 | Lost |
1227 | 1019 | 77% | 2011-07-18 | Won |
1120 | 1022 | 64% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
1153 | 1055 | 64% | 2010-03-18 | Lost |
1034 | 970 | 59% | 2009-04-17 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1091.6 vs 1025.5 has a 59.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).