Purple Heart Draw
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2019-02-12 | Won |
| 1216 | 937 | 83% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 938 | 1216 | 17% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1216 | 972 | 80% | 2017-08-16 | Lost |
| 1055 | 955 | 64% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 955 | 64% | 2015-01-16 | Won |
| 1005 | 961 | 56% | 2013-12-28 | Lost |
| 965 | 996 | 46% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1059 | 40% | 2013-02-05 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-07-18 | Won |
| 1202 | 1015 | 75% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1083 | 57% | 2010-03-18 | Lost |
| 1034 | 972 | 59% | 2009-04-17 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1090.1 vs 1012.4 has a 60.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).