Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Canadian): 5
Defender wins (Italian): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
979 | 983 | 49% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
950 | 1283 | 13% | 2018-03-12 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2017-09-03 | Won |
1064 | 979 | 62% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2016-04-19 | Lost |
1307 | 1323 | 48% | 2013-06-13 | Won |
1307 | 1159 | 70% | 2013-04-12 | Won |
1068 | 1090 | 47% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
1075 | 1149 | 40% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
985 | 1153 | 28% | 2010-12-15 | Lost |
917 | 1307 | 10% | 2009-09-11 | Lost |
1135 | 1063 | 60% | 2009-02-03 | Lost |
983 | 1030 | 43% | 2009-01-25 | Lost |
1012 | 1069 | 42% | 2008-10-11 | Lost |
1078 | 1012 | 59% | 2008-09-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1108.6 has a 43.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).