Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1159 | 1046 | 66% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
1097 | 1105 | 49% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
1018 | 1105 | 38% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
1002 | 1323 | 14% | 2017-06-25 | Lost |
933 | 1046 | 34% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1122 | 1037 | 62% | 2012-06-30 | Won |
974 | 1047 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
1117 | 1019 | 64% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1020 | 1047 | 46% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1019 | 1227 | 23% | 2011-03-03 | Lost |
1228 | 1131 | 64% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2010-10-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2009-08-21 | Lost |
989 | 1214 | 21% | 2009-03-13 | Lost |
1018 | 1027 | 49% | 2008-10-23 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1106.2 has a 41.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).