A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (18 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (Polish): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
1292 | 972 | 86% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
957 | 1284 | 13% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
1063 | 1284 | 22% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1143 | 1068 | 61% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
980 | 1097 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
1068 | 976 | 63% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
1088 | 1050 | 55% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1051 | 1197 | 30% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
1030 | 1285 | 19% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
1063 | 1069 | 49% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1108.8 has a 43.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).