A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (26 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Polish): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1108 | 39% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 841 | 1108 | 18% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1307 | 972 | 87% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
| 1091 | 1302 | 23% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
| 948 | 1219 | 17% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1208 | 29% | 2017-05-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 1219 | 23% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1079 | 909 | 73% | 2016-01-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1108 | 37% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1066 | 62% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1098 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 954 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1173 | 1136 | 55% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1058 | 57% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1143 | 37% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
| 1080 | 1044 | 55% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 975 | 1176 | 24% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
| 1105 | 1028 | 61% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1101.3 has a 43.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).