A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (21 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Polish): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
869 | 1122 | 19% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
1296 | 972 | 87% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
1092 | 1307 | 22% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
957 | 1283 | 13% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
1069 | 1283 | 23% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
998 | 1122 | 33% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1143 | 1068 | 61% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
979 | 1097 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
1068 | 953 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
1120 | 1090 | 54% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
1073 | 1047 | 54% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1051 | 1141 | 37% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
1030 | 1285 | 19% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
1069 | 1069 | 50% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1115.7 has a 41.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).