A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (24 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (Polish): 63
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2024-07-06 | Won |
1062 | 1042 | 53% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
847 | 1110 | 18% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
1299 | 973 | 87% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
1074 | 1310 | 20% | 2019-10-21 | Lost |
1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
948 | 1216 | 18% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
1031 | 1055 | 47% | 2017-05-28 | Lost |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-11-30 | Won |
1063 | 1216 | 29% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1015 | 1110 | 37% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2014-03-03 | Won |
981 | 1098 | 34% | 2014-01-23 | Lost |
1067 | 954 | 66% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
1168 | 1130 | 55% | 2012-12-01 | Lost |
1108 | 1057 | 57% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
1051 | 1183 | 32% | 2010-10-07 | Won |
1064 | 1044 | 53% | 2010-07-25 | Lost |
1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2009-11-26 | Lost |
1001 | 1013 | 48% | 2009-06-19 | Won |
1030 | 1284 | 19% | 2008-12-09 | Lost |
1063 | 1051 | 52% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
994 | 1148 | 29% | 2008-09-23 | Won |
1138 | 982 | 71% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1105.5 has a 44.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).