Federov's Incursion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (5 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1230 | 1050 | 74% | 2026-05-28 | Won |
| 1071 | 1070 | 50% | 2026-05-07 | Won |
| 985 | 917 | 60% | 2010-12-18 | Lost |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2009-01-26 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2008-12-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1093.6 vs 1042.8 has a 57.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).