The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (8 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 24
Defender wins (German): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1133 | 39% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
765 | 1218 | 7% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
948 | 1053 | 35% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
1064 | 1076 | 48% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
939 | 1183 | 20% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
1028 | 1118 | 37% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
994 | 1148 | 29% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
1056 | 1145 | 37% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 981.1 vs 1134.3 has a 29.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).