The Lisjanka Epitaph
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (6 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
779 | 1211 | 8% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
1003 | 1023 | 47% | 2014-10-25 | Won |
939 | 1141 | 24% | 2011-03-20 | Lost |
1071 | 1075 | 49% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2008-12-27 | Won |
1063 | 1152 | 37% | 2008-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 977.3 vs 1113.3 has a 31.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).