Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (13 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (British): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1063 | 1169 | 35% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1117 | 1169 | 43% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
1092 | 1048 | 56% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
926 | 1141 | 22% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
1211 | 1066 | 70% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
1090 | 815 | 83% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
1063 | 1078 | 48% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
1150 | 1097 | 58% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
1075 | 1227 | 29% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
1138 | 1115 | 53% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
1022 | 1029 | 49% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
1009 | 1078 | 40% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1093 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).