Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (13 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (British): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1085 | 1099 | 48% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1137 | 1099 | 55% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
1092 | 1049 | 56% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
979 | 1159 | 26% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
936 | 1190 | 19% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
1238 | 1000 | 80% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
1140 | 816 | 87% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
1085 | 1058 | 54% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
1169 | 1097 | 60% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
1105 | 1227 | 33% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
1093 | 1029 | 59% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
862 | 885 | 47% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1063.5 has a 52.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).